Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

On Nov 3, 2026 If X has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Montana US Senate and New Jersey US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share, expressed as percentage, between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies