Will core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for October 2026?
If core CPI inflation MoM is above headline CPI inflation MoM for October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution. For purposes of this market, “core CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “Headline CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. The comparison will use the one-decimal values reported by BLS. If the values are equal, the market resolves No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.