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GroupKALSHI

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in October?

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in October?
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Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

About This Event

October 2026 If core CPI inflation MoM is above headline CPI inflation MoM for October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution. For purposes of this market, “core CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “Headline CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. The comparison will use the one-decimal values reported by BLS. If the values are equal, the market resolves No. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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