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How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

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How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?
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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

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All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 92.0%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 64.0%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 36.0%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 19.0%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 10.0%

Event Overview

November 3, 2026 If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least X at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama, 7, Georgia, 14, Louisiana, 6, Mississippi, 4, and South Carolina, 7, under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. X district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

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Markets (6)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome64.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome36.0%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome19.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 14 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 14 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 14 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details

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