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Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes 92.0%

Vol200 contracts

SnapshotNov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 92.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Part of: How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

YesYes Price

92.0¢

VolTotal Volume

200 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Mar 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes

92.0¢

Vol

200 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes92.0¢

No8.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 92.0%. Snapshot Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina is at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 38 U.S. House districts in Alabama (7), Georgia (14), Louisiana (6), Mississippi (4) and South Carolina (7), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Louisiana, the Nov 3, 2026 open primary counts as the general election and its Dec 12, 2026 runoff counts as a runoff. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

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Resolution Info