What is the current price for "Fed median dot plot in December 2026"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Fed median dot plot in December 2026"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Fed median dot plot in December 2026"?

Total trading volume is approximately $2K.

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Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Yes98%

Vol$1.81K

Markets12

98%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIEconomics

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Name: Fed median dot plot in December 2026
Start: 2026-10-12T09:12:22.575Z
End: 2026-11-11T09:12:22.575Z

Part of: Fed median dot plot in December 2026

At Dec 2026 meeting If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above X at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting. If the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of

YesLeading Yes Probability

98%

VolTotal Volume

$1.81K

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Yes

98%

Vol

$1.81K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)

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All Markets(12)

Market	Price
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)	98%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)	98%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)	98%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.8%)	97%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.9%)	97%

Markets (12)

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KALSHIEconomics

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.5% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.7% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.6% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.8%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.8% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.9%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.9% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.0%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.0% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.1%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.1% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.2%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.2% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.3%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.3% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.4%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.4% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.5%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.5% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year

What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 4.6%)

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.6% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying will be the published median year