Skip to main content
PredictPedia
K

Iowa Democratic presidential caucus winner?

Trade
Event Group
EventKALSHI

Iowa Democratic presidential caucus winner?

Iowa Democratic presidential caucus winner?
|
Vol

47.99 contracts

|
Markets

12

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(12)
MarketOutcome price
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?
Yes 26.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?
Yes 14.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?
Yes 13.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?
Yes 7.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?
Yes 5.0%

Event Overview

IA If X wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates, a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote, whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (12)

Sort
KALSHIPolitics
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome13.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume47.99 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Raphael Warnock wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Wes Moore wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Mark Kelly wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If James Talarico wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

Share This Event

Share on social media or embed on your website

Back to Event Group