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Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Yes 5.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 5.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Part of: Iowa Democratic presidential caucus winner?

YesYes Price

5.0¢

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Outcomes

Ends

Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus?

Yes

5.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes5.0¢

No95.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info