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Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

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Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?
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2.2K contracts

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Markets

12

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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12 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

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All Markets(12)
MarketOutcome price
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?
Yes 25.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?
Yes 17.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?
Yes 12.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?
Yes 7.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?
Yes 6.3%

Event Overview

NV If X wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada, the earlier one if two allocate the same number. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume844.36 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume64.45 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume537 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome7.1%
Yes
Volume15 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Raphael Warnock wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome6.3%
Yes
Volume640 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.1%
Yes
Volume20 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Mark Kelly wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome2.1%
Yes
Volume30 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Wes Moore wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If James Talarico wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome1.9%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

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