Skip to main content
PredictPedia
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?
Vol

K 2.2K contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

12

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Jon Ossoff at 25%.

Kalshi

  1. Jon Ossoff25%
  2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.5%
  3. Gavin Newsom12.5%
  4. Pete Buttigieg7.1%
  5. Raphael Warnock6.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.2K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

NV If X wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from Nevada, the earlier one if two allocate the same number. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

PM $3.4K
Will Jon Ossoff win the Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 24%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 19%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 18%
+17 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

K 0 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 79%
+5 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many candidates will win a 2028 Democratic primary?

How many candidates will win a 2028 Democratic primary?

K 0.02 contracts
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 2 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 3 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 60.5%
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 4 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 30.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi