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When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

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When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
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141 contracts

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Markets

5

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Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Epoch ECI above 170 before Jul 1, 2027?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jul 1, 2027?
Yes 96.5%
Epoch ECI above 170 before Apr 1, 2027?
Yes 91.5%
Epoch ECI above 170 before Feb 1, 2027?
Yes 81.5%
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 71.5%
Epoch ECI above 170 before Dec 1, 2026?
Yes 46.5%

Event Overview

Any AI model from any lab If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index, General ECI, https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard, after market issuance and before X 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. X qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (5)

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KALSHIOther
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jul 1, 2027?

Epoch ECI above 170 before Jul 1, 2027?

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before July 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Epoch ECI above 170 before Apr 1, 2027?

Epoch ECI above 170 before Apr 1, 2027?

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before April 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Epoch ECI above 170 before Feb 1, 2027?

Epoch ECI above 170 before Feb 1, 2027?

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Yes outcome81.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jan 1, 2027?

Epoch ECI above 170 before Jan 1, 2027?

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Yes outcome71.5%
Yes
Volume141 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Epoch ECI above 170 before Dec 1, 2026?

Epoch ECI above 170 before Dec 1, 2026?

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a qualifying score is officially published during the observation window.

Yes outcome46.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details

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