What is the current price for "European Parliament election winner?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 54.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "European Parliament election winner?"?

There are 8 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "European Parliament election winner?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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European Parliament election winner?

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

European Parliament election winner?

Name: European Parliament election winner?
Start: 2026-10-28T03:38:33.167Z
End: 2026-11-27T03:38:33.167Z

Part of: European Parliament election winner?

in 2029 If X wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

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European Parliament election winner?

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

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All Markets(8)

Market	Outcome price
Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Yes 45.5%
Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Yes 45.0%
Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Yes 41.5%
Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Yes 41.0%
Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Yes 41.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (8)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If S&D wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome45.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

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KALSHIPolitics

Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If EPP wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome45.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If Patriots for Europe wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome41.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

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KALSHIPolitics

Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If ESN wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome41.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If ECR wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome41.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Renew Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If Renew Europe wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome40.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

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KALSHIPolitics

Will The Left win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If The Left wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome40.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Greens/EFA win the 2029 European Parliament election?

If Greens/EFA wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome40.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJun 10, 2030

View Details

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European Parliament election winner?

European Parliament election winner?

European Parliament election winner?

Market Price Graph

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (8)

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