Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

European Parliament election winner?

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European Parliament election winner?

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is S&D at 46.5%.

Kalshi

S&D46.5%
EPP46%
Patriots for Europe41.5%
ESN41.5%
ECR41.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	46.5%
Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	46.0%
Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.5%
Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.5%
Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.5%
Will Renew Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.0%
Will The Left win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.0%
Will Greens/EFA win the 2029 European Parliament election?	Kalshi	41.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

in 2029 If X wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: European Parliament election winner?
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-SD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 46.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If S&D wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will Renew Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-RENEW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renew Europe wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-PFE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Patriots for Europe wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will The Left win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-LEFT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Left wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will Greens/EFA win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-GREENS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Greens/EFA wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-ESN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ESN wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-EPP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If EPP wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Contract: Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXEUPARLIAMENT-29JUN10-ECR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeuparliament-29jun10
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ECR wins the 2029 European Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

European Parliament election winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

kalshi

Will S&D win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Yes: 46.5¢
No: 53.5¢

Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?

kalshi

Will EPP win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Yes: 46.0¢
No: 54.0¢

Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?

kalshi

Will Patriots for Europe win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Yes: 41.5¢
No: 58.5¢

Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?

kalshi

Will ESN win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Yes: 41.5¢
No: 58.5¢

Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?

kalshi

Will ECR win the 2029 European Parliament election?

Yes: 41.5¢
No: 58.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Jun 10, 2030, 2:00 PM UTC

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European Parliament election winner?

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