Midterms: which party wins independents?

Nov 3, 2026 If X wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, a party “wins” independents if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where X is the number of tied strikes. CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 P