Will the Senate confirm a federal judge in the 120th Congress before Jan 1, 2028?
If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A federal judge counts only if the Senate confirms them to one of the following courts: Supreme Court of the United States U.S. Court of Federal Claims U.S. Courts of Appeals U.S. District Courts (including territorial courts) The following do NOT count: A confirmation made before Jan 3, 2027, including in the 2026 lame-duck session A confirmation to the U.S. Court of International Trade, U.S. Tax Court, U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces, U.S. Court of Military Commission Review, or a District of Columbia local court (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia) Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
