What is the current price for "Iowa Governor: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 94.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Iowa Governor: margin of victory"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Iowa Governor: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $9K.

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Iowa Governor: margin of victory

Vol8.8K contracts

Markets10

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Iowa Governor: margin of victory

Name: Iowa Governor: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-29T09:42:04.650Z
End: 2026-11-28T09:42:04.650Z

Part of: Iowa Governor: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is X Y Z 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Iowa Governor: margin of victory

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Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 34.5%
Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 30.0%
Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 11.5%
Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 9.5%
Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 9.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (10)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome34.5%

Yes

Volume252.11 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome30.0%

Yes

Volume292.58 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome11.5%

Yes

Volume280 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume280 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be at least 2%?

If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume280 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume280 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.0%

Yes

Volume280 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be at least 14%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume6.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume306.82 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Iowa Governor: margin of victory

Iowa Governor: margin of victory

Iowa Governor: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

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