About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is X Y Z 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.