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Ohio Governor: margin of victory

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EventKALSHI

Ohio Governor: margin of victory

Ohio Governor: margin of victory
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Vol

18.7K contracts

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Markets

13

Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

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All Markets(13)
MarketOutcome price
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?
Yes 20.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?
Yes 17.5%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 17.5%
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 13.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?
Yes 13.0%

Event Overview

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is X Y Z 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (13)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume4.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume5.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume5.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume844.68 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume210.08 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume176.81 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume167.68 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 12% and 14%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume290.76 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 6%?

If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume343.47 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 16%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 16%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume121 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 14% and 16%?

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details

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