Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Ohio Governor: margin of victory

Reported volume

K 18.7K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Ohio Governor: margin of victory

Vol

K 18.7K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Amy Acton, 2-4% at 20%.

Kalshi

Amy Acton, 2-4%20%
Amy Acton, 4-6%17.5%
Amy Acton, 0-2%17.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy, 0-2%13%
Amy Acton, 6-8%13%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

13 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	20.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	17.5%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	17.5%
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	13.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?	Kalshi	13.0%
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	8.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 12% and 14%?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 6%?	Kalshi	3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 16%?	Kalshi	3.0%
Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 14% and 16%?	Kalshi	3.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 18.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is X Y Z 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Ohio Governor: margin of victory
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 18.7K contracts
Coverage: 13 of 13 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-VRAM-P6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 343.47 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-VRAM-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 290.76 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-VRAM-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 176.81 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-VRAM-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 844.68 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Vivek Ramaswamy minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Vivek Ramaswamy if Vivek Ramaswamy wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Vivek Ramaswamy loses. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins, the margin will be positive; if Vivek Ramaswamy loses, the margin will be negative; if Vivek Ramaswamy ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Vivek Ramaswamy runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 167.68 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 210.08 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 16%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 121 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 14% and 16%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 100 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 12% and 14%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 100 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYOH-26-AACT-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyoh-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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