What is the current price for "Texas Governor: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Texas Governor: margin of victory"?

There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Texas Governor: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $48K.

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Texas Governor: margin of victory

Vol48.4K contracts

Markets11

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Texas Governor: margin of victory

Name: Texas Governor: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-27T13:00:47.485Z
End: 2026-11-26T13:00:47.485Z

Part of: Texas Governor: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is X Y Z 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gina Hinojosa runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Texas Governor: margin of victory

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48.4K contracts

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Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 35.5%
Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 35.5%
Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 31.5%
Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 31.0%
Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 20.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (11)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gina Hinojosa runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome35.5%

Yes

Volume2.8K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome35.5%

Yes

Volume3.0K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome31.5%

Yes

Volume508.86 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome31.0%

Yes

Volume2.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gina Hinojosa runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome20.5%

Yes

Volume12.9K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome19.5%

Yes

Volume1.7K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gina Hinojosa runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume459 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be at least 6%?

If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gina Hinojosa runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume459 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume5.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume15.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be at least 12%?

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume3.8K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Texas Governor: margin of victory

Texas Governor: margin of victory

Texas Governor: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?

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