What is the current price for "Florida Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 91.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Florida Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Florida Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $5K.

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Florida Senate: margin of victory

Vol4.8K contracts

Markets11

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Florida Senate: margin of victory

Name: Florida Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-30T01:41:47.073Z
End: 2026-11-29T01:41:47.073Z

Part of: Florida Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is X Y Z 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Florida Senate: margin of victory

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Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 12.5%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 10% and 12%?	Yes 10.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume166 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume386.43 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.5%

Yes

Volume332 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume928.57 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.5%

Yes

Volume476.89 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be at least 2%?

If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.5%

Yes

Volume478.16 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume332 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume396.24 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be at least 16%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.0%

Yes

Volume332 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume426.07 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Moody runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume498 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Florida Senate: margin of victory

Florida Senate: margin of victory

Florida Senate: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?

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