About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is X Y Z 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.