What is the current price for "Iowa Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Iowa Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Iowa Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $17K.

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Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Vol17.1K contracts

Markets11

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Name: Iowa Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-28T13:27:37.802Z
End: 2026-11-27T13:27:37.802Z

Part of: Iowa Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is X Y Z 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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17.1K contracts

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Iowa Senate: margin of victory

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 20.5%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 19.0%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 13.5%
Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 11.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (11)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome20.5%

Yes

Volume2.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome19.0%

Yes

Volume1.7K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume4.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.5%

Yes

Volume2.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome11.0%

Yes

Volume940.83 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume1.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume1.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume399 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume1.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 8%?

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume399 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 10%?

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume449 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Iowa Senate: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?

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Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

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Markets (11)

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