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Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

Yes 11.0%

Vol940.83 contracts

SnapshotOct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 11.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

Part of: Iowa Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

11.0¢

VolTotal Volume

940.83 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?

Yes

11.0¢

Vol

940.83 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes11.0¢

No89.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 11.0%. Snapshot Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info