What is the current price for "North Carolina Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 90.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "North Carolina Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "North Carolina Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $25K.

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North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Vol25.0K contracts

Markets14

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Name: North Carolina Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-28T03:28:18.848Z
End: 2026-11-27T03:28:18.848Z

Part of: North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?

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All Markets(14)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?	Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%?	Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 16% and 18%?	Yes 12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 10% and 12%?	Yes 10.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 10.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume929.86 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume13.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 16% and 18%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 16% to 18%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume233 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.5%

Yes

Volume5.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume475.96 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 18% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 18% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume282 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 22%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume232 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume277.18 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 20% and 22%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 20% to 22%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume348 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume713.02 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume623.16 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume1.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 2%?

If the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michael Whatley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michael Whatley if Michael Whatley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michael Whatley loses. If Michael Whatley wins, the margin will be positive; if Michael Whatley loses, the margin will be negative; if Michael Whatley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Whatley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume216 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michael Whatley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michael Whatley if Michael Whatley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michael Whatley loses. If Michael Whatley wins, the margin will be positive; if Michael Whatley loses, the margin will be negative; if Michael Whatley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Whatley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume116 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?

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