Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

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K 25.0K contracts

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North Carolina Senate: margin of victory

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K 25.0K contracts

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Roy Cooper, 14-16% at 15%.

Kalshi

Roy Cooper, 14-16%15%
Roy Cooper, 12-14%15%
Roy Cooper, 16-18%12%
Roy Cooper, 10-12%10.5%
Roy Cooper, 8-10%10%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?	Kalshi	15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%?	Kalshi	15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 16% and 18%?	Kalshi	12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 10% and 12%?	Kalshi	10.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 8% and 10%?	Kalshi	10.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 18% and 20%?	Kalshi	9.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 22%?	Kalshi	7.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 6% and 8%?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 20% and 22%?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 2%?	Kalshi	2.0%
Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 25.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: North Carolina Senate: margin of victory
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 25.0K contracts
Coverage: 14 of 14 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 8% and 10%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 475.96 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 6% and 8%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 277.18 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 713.02 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 623.16 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 22%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 232 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 20% and 22%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P21; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 348 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 20% to 22%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 18% and 20%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P19; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 282 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 18% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 16% and 18%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 233 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 16% to 18%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 14% and 16%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 929.86 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 13.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 10% and 12%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-RCOO-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-MWHA-P2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 216 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michael Whatley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michael Whatley if Michael Whatley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michael Whatley loses. If Michael Whatley wins, the margin will be positive; if Michael Whatley loses, the margin will be negative; if Michael Whatley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Whatley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATENC-26-MWHA-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatenc-26
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 116 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michael Whatley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michael Whatley if Michael Whatley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michael Whatley loses. If Michael Whatley wins, the margin will be positive; if Michael Whatley loses, the margin will be negative; if Michael Whatley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Whatley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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