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South Carolina Senate: margin of victory

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EventKALSHI

South Carolina Senate: margin of victory

South Carolina Senate: margin of victory
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Vol

21.9K contracts

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Markets

12

Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

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All Markets(12)
MarketOutcome price
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?
Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?
Yes 14.5%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 13.5%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%?
Yes 12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 11.0%

Event Overview

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume3.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.5%
Yes
Volume2.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%
Yes
Volume362.51 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume8.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 8% and 10%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume2.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 10% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 14%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 14%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume16 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 12% and 14%?

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 6%?

If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume3.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details

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