
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?
If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.











