Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIElections

South Carolina Senate: margin of victory

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K 21.9K contracts

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South Carolina Senate: margin of victory

Vol

K 21.9K contracts

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Darline Graham, 2-4% at 15%.

Kalshi

Darline Graham, 2-4%15%
Darline Graham, 4-6%14.5%
Darline Graham, 0-2%13.5%
Darline Graham, 6-8%12%
Annie Andrews, 0-2%11%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

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12 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	14.5%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%?	Kalshi	12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	11.0%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 8% and 10%?	Kalshi	10.0%
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	8.0%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 10% and 12%?	Kalshi	7.0%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 14%?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 12% and 14%?	Kalshi	5.0%
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 6%?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	3.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 21.9K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: South Carolina Senate: margin of victory
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 21.9K contracts
Coverage: 12 of 12 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 8% and 10%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 362.51 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.7K contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 14%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P14; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 16 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 12% and 14%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 10% and 12%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-DGRA-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-AAND-P6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-AAND-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-AAND-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-SENATESC-26-AAND-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-senatesc-26
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections