
Will year-over-year growth in U.S. employer health insurance costs for September 2027 be above 4%?
If the year-over-year growth in U.S. employer health insurance costs for September 2027 is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "US employer health insurance cost growth” refers to the BLS Employment Cost Index’s 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. The September 2027 value measures growth over the year ending September 2027, from September 2026 to September 2027. The published percentage change is used directly, at BLS’s reported precision, without additional calculation or rounding. The first official, non-preliminary value is used. Subsequent revisions and corrections are ignored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.






