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Events
GroupKALSHI

US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027

US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4% at 96.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 4%96.5%
  2. Above 5%95%
  3. Above 6%90%
  4. Above 7%60%
  5. Above 8%28%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

YoY growth Sep26-Sep27 If the year-over-year growth in U.S. employer health insurance costs for September 2027 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. "US employer health insurance cost growth” refers to the BLS Employment Cost Index’s 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. The September 2027 value measures growth over the year ending September 2027, from September 2026 to September 2027. The published percentage change is used directly, at BLS’s reported precision, without additional calculation or rounding. The first official, non-preliminary value is used. Subsequent revisions and corrections are ignored. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiHealth
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026

US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026

K 27.3K contracts
Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 be above 4.5%?Yes 99%
Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 be above 5.0%?Yes 97%
Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 be above 5.5%?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027

K 10.4K contracts
Will Walmart Inc. report Above 3.4% walmart us comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027?Yes 83.5%
Will Walmart Inc. report Above 3.6% walmart us comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027?Yes 73.5%
Will Walmart Inc. report Above 3.8% walmart us comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline May 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2026?

US real GDP growth in 2026?

PM $34.2K · K 448.6K contracts

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 0.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2036?

US real GDP growth in 2036?

K 157.7K contracts
GDP growth in 2036? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 42%
GDP growth in 2036? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 11.5%
GDP growth in 2036? (0.0% or Below)Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2037 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2035?

US real GDP growth in 2035?

K 157.3K contracts
GDP growth in 2035? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 11.5%
GDP growth in 2035? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 11%
GDP growth in 2035? (0.0% or Below)Yes 10.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2036 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2033?

US real GDP growth in 2033?

K 156.9K contracts
GDP growth in 2033? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 13.5%
GDP growth in 2033? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 11%
GDP growth in 2033? (0.1% to 0.5%)Yes 10.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2034 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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