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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)

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EventKALSHI

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)
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Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will November 8 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

kalshi

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All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will November 8 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
Yes 50.0%
Will November 7 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
Yes 50.0%
Will November 6 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
Yes 50.0%
Will November 5 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
Yes 50.0%
Will November 4 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
Yes 15.0%

Event Overview

11/2 - 11/8 If Nov X 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where X is the number of tied days.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (7)

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KALSHITech
Will November 8 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 8 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 8, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 7 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 7 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 6 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 6 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 6, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 5 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 5 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 5, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 4 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 4 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 4, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 3 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 3 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 3, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will November 2 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

Will November 2 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?

If Nov 2, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details

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