Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contracts
1
7
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contracts
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is November 8 at 50%.
Kalshi
- November 850%
- November 750%
- November 650%
- November 550%
- November 415%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
11/2 - 11/8 If Nov X 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where X is the number of tied days.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
PM $21.33M · K 11.11M contractsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
PM $2.7KMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
