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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

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EventKALSHI

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
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Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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8 markets tracked

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

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All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 69.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 50.0%

Event Overview

11/2 - 11/8 If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (8)

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KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome69.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details

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