Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contracts
1
8
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contracts
1
8
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 3 at 69.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 369.5%
- Above 950%
- Above 850%
- Above 750%
- Above 650%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
8
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
11/2 - 11/8 If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 25.23 contracts
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contracts
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
K 48.5K contracts
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
K 0 contractsPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)
K 29.4K contracts
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
PM $21.33M · K 11.11M contractsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
