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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

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EventKALSHI

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
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Vol

97.9K contracts

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Markets

8

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 95.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 84.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 67.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 37.0%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 21.5%

Event Overview

11/9 - 11/15 If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (8)

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KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume19.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome84.5%
Yes
Volume40.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome67.5%
Yes
Volume4.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome37.0%
Yes
Volume2.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome21.5%
Yes
Volume844.79 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume3.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume12.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume13.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details

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