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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
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Vol

16.8K contracts

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Markets

9

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Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 93.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 70.5%
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 54.5%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 44.5%
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 30.5%

Event Overview

10/26 - 11/1 If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (9)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume5.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume438.69 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 23 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume93.44 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome44.5%
Yes
Volume7.9 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume75.46 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome22.5%
Yes
Volume3.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume3.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume3.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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