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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
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Vol

241.9K contracts

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Markets

9

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 68.0%
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 46.5%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 29.5%
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 17.5%

Event Overview

11/9 - 11/15 If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (9)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume56.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome68.0%
Yes
Volume9.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 23 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome46.5%
Yes
Volume10.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome29.5%
Yes
Volume14.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume8.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume10.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume30.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume41.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume60.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details

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