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2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?

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EventKALSHI

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Yes

26%

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Vol

$5.42K

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Markets

9

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9 markets tracked

Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?

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All Markets(9)
MarketPrice
Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?
26%
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
15%
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
15%
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?
7%
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?
6%

Markets (9)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?

Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between -0.9 and 0.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume$5.32K
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between -2.9 and -1 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote m

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between 1 and 2.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote mar

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between -4.9 and -3 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote m

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is at least 7 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin is

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 3 to 4.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between 3 and 4.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote mar

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between 5 and 6.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote mar

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$105.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is between -6.9 and -5 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote m

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?

Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 7 or more points in the 2026 House popular vote?

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is below -6.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin is

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 30, 2027
View Details

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