Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

in 2026 If Yes wins the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations, then the market resolves to Yes. For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met. Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a cons