Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

On Oct 27, 2026 If X finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts. X party or list awarded no seats cannot p