Will the Knesset approve a new government with both Likud and Yashar before Jul 1, 2027?
If the Knesset approves a new government that includes both Likud and Yashar in a vote of confidence before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval, in a vote of confidence, of a new government that includes both Likud and Yashar qualifies. A party is considered to be part of a government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in that government. Outside support for a government, including a confidence and supply arrangement, does NOT make a party part of that government. A Knesset vote approving the appointment of additional ministers to an existing or outgoing government does NOT qualify. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.
