Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government?
K 286.17 contracts
1
2
Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government?
K 286.17 contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 26.5%.
Kalshi
- Before Jul 1, 202726.5%
- Before Feb 1, 202718%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 286.17 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
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0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Israeli government formation If the Knesset approves a new government that includes both Likud and Yashar in a vote of confidence before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval, in a vote of confidence, of a new government that includes both Likud and Yashar qualifies. X party is considered to be part of a government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position, including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable, in that government. Outside support for a government, including a confidence and supply arrangement, does NOT make a party part of that government. A Knesset vote approving the appointment of additional ministers to an existing or outgoing government does NOT qualify. This market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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