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Next Japanese general election winner?

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EventKALSHI

Next Japanese general election winner?

Next Japanese general election winner?
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Vol

13.5K contracts

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Markets

7

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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Liberal Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?

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No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will Liberal Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?
Yes 74.0%
Will Democratic Party for the People win the next Japanese general election?
Yes 5.5%
Will Team Mirai win the next Japanese general election?
Yes 4.5%
Will Sanseitō win the next Japanese general election?
Yes 4.5%
Will Japan Innovation Party win the next Japanese general election?
Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

House of Representatives If X wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Liberal Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?

Will Liberal Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?

If Liberal Democratic Party wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome74.0%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democratic Party for the People win the next Japanese general election?

Will Democratic Party for the People win the next Japanese general election?

If Democratic Party for the People wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume3.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Team Mirai win the next Japanese general election?

Will Team Mirai win the next Japanese general election?

If Team Mirai wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume2.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Sanseitō win the next Japanese general election?

Will Sanseitō win the next Japanese general election?

If Sanseitō wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Japan Innovation Party win the next Japanese general election?

Will Japan Innovation Party win the next Japanese general election?

If Japan Innovation Party wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume3.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democratic Reform Party win the next Japanese general election?

Will Democratic Reform Party win the next Japanese general election?

If Democratic Reform Party wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume2.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Constitutional Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?

Will Constitutional Democratic Party win the next Japanese general election?

If Constitutional Democratic Party wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2031
View Details

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