What is the current price for "Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 50.5% probability.

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There are 17 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

Name: Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?
Start: 2026-10-28T10:46:58.612Z
End: 2026-11-27T10:46:58.612Z

Part of: Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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17 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?

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All Markets(17)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be at least 18%?	Yes 49.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be at least 18%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is at or above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 16% and 18%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 16% to 18%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be at least 12%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

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Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?

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