Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright?

May 16, 2026 If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 X primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choi