Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?

On Oct 27, 2026 If Likud has won above X seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. X seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated