What is the current price for "Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 60.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?"?

There are 4 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $6K.

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Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

Yes67%

Vol$5.89K

Markets4

67%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIScience and Technology

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

Name: Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
Start: 2026-10-12T03:36:47.710Z
End: 2026-11-11T03:36:47.710Z

Part of: Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

Before 2030 If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Only a game played after Issuance counts. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

YesLeading Yes Probability

67%

VolTotal Volume

$5.89K

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

Yes

67%

Vol

$5.89K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(4)

Market	Price
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?	67%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?	61%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?	41%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?	3%

Markets (4)

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KALSHIOther

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only a game played after Issuance counts. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only a game played after Issuance counts. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only a game played after Issuance counts. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only a game played after Issuance counts. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.