What is the current price for "How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 91.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $8K.

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Name: How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Start: 2026-01-16T13:48:53.619Z
End: 2026-02-15T13:48:53.619Z

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will exactly 2 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

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All Markets(6)

Market	Price
Will exactly 2 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?	27%
Will exactly 1 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?	24%
Will exactly 3 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?	20%
Will exactly 0 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?	10%
Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?	9%

Markets (6)

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Will exactly 2 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If exactly 2 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general el

Will exactly 1 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If exactly 1 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general el

Will exactly 3 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general el

Will exactly 0 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If exactly 0 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general el

Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general e

Will exactly 4 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?

If exactly 4 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general el