Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place

On Jul 30, 2026 If X finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order, runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place, For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, oth