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2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)

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EventKALSHI

2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)

2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)
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Vol

0 contracts

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Markets

4

Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Morena win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Will Morena win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?
Yes 60.0%
Will PAN win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?
Yes 20.0%
Will MC win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?
Yes 10.0%
Will PRI win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?
Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute, INE, for the election. X candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (4)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Morena win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

Will Morena win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

If Morena wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute (INE) for the election. A candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome60.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 02, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will PAN win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

Will PAN win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

If PAN wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute (INE) for the election. A candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 02, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will MC win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

Will MC win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

If MC wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute (INE) for the election. A candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 02, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will PRI win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

Will PRI win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

If PRI wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute (INE) for the election. A candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 02, 2031
View Details

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